The NIASRA Fellows Meetings aim to provide an ongoing opportunity for researchers actively working in areas of interest to the Centre to present both work in progress and recent research results to an audience of fellow researchers and senior professionals who are also working in these areas.
Fellows Research Meetings
Overview
These meetings provide a high level forum for the dissemination of this research as well as the opportunity for stimulating and constructive discussion and debate on issues that are raised as a consequence.
Ideally, participation in the Fellows Meetings should lead to the generation of useful inputs for further research. In this spirit, presentations at the meetings can therefore be relatively 'technical'.
Participation
Participation in the Fellows Meetings is by invitation, with a planned maximum of 25 participants at any one time. There are four presentations at each meeting, with two meetings held a year. All participants are encouraged to make a presentation at a Meeting.
The choice of topic is entirely up to the individual concerned, but ideally should be in an area of interest to the Centre, i.e. related to any combination of applied statistical inference, statistical methodology, survey and census methodology and the methodology of official statistics.
If you would like to be included in the invitation to the meetings, please email Angela Fiakos.
Location
Meetings are presently held from 9.45 am (coffee at 9:30) to 4:30 pm at Goulburn Soldiers Club, 15 Market Street, Goulburn.
Lunch and morning and afternoon tea are provided.
Goulburn has been chosen as the venue because it represents a location that is (very roughly) approximately equidistant in terms of real travel time from Canberra, Wollongong and Sydney.
Past meetings
The G38 Research Fellows Meeting will be held at the Goulburn Soldiers Club on 1 April 2020 (Cancelled due to COVID-19).
Please email Angela Fiakos on angelan@uow.edu.au to register your interest and to receive further information about future Research Fellows Meetings.
Goulburn 37 (November 2019)
Nidhi Menon (Australian National University)
Multiple Imputation of Missing Data in Multilevel Models
Michael Stewart (University of Sydney)
Higher order criticism of higher criticism
Goulburn 36 (April 3 2019)
Linh Nghiem (Australian National University)
Lagged Exact Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection with Parameter Estimation
Siu-Ming Tam (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
The ABC of Big Data
William Gross (NIASRA, University of Wollongong)
Using Population Groups for Replicate Variance Estimation
Andrew Zammit Mangion (NIASRA, University of Wollongong)
Deep Compositional Spatial Models
Goulburn 35 (November 21, 2018)
Takeshi Kurosawa (Tokyo University of Science)
Predictive power measures for the Poisson regression model
Peter W. F. Smith (University of Southampton)
The Administrative Data Research Centre for England: Making a Methodological Impact
Raymond Chambers (University of Wollongong)
A Linked Double-Header: Domain Estimation Under Informative Linkage and Outlier Robust Inference Using Probabilistically Linked Data
Pavel Krivitsky (University of Wollongong)
Representativeness and Generalisability of Inference for Exponential-Family Random Graph Models from Samples of Networks
Goulburn 34 (April 18 2018)
Mossamet Kamrun Nesa (University of Wollongong), Robert Clark (Australian National University), Carole Birrell (University of Wollongong)
Estimation of Contingency Tables for Small Areas using Multi-Level Loglinear Models
Oksana Honchar (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Exploring state space modelling approach to measuring an impact of transformation on ABS time series
Yan-Xia Lin (University of Wollongong)
Reviewing the Methods of Estimating the Density Function Based on Masked Data
Rachel Barker (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Conditional Selection: two stage selection and other extensions
Goulburn 33 (November 1 2017)
Stephen Horn (Chair, Official Statistics Section, SSA)
On surveys in Official Statistics: State spaces or space stations
Pavel Krivitsky (NIASRA, University of Wollongong)
Exponential Random Graph Models for Multi-Layer Networks
Fiona Steel and Paul Clarke (London School of Economics & Political Science, University of Essex)
Modelling within-household associations in household panel studies
Margo Barr (Sax Institute)
Current challenges and opportunities of an ageing longitudinal study
Goulburn 32 (February 22 2017)
Chris Skinner (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Using Paradata in Survey Data Analysis to Compensate for Measurement Error
Stephen Haslett (The Australian National University, Canberra)
Cloning Models - Something for free?
Robert Clark (University of Wollongong)
Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Complex Outcome-Dependent Sample Designs
Oksana Honchar (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Statistical impact measurement with state space modelling approach
Sydney Business School G31 (November 2, 2016)
Ian Marschner (Macquarie University)
Log-binomial regression and its applications to serial survey data
Paul Malcolm (Cyber & Crypto-Mathematics Research, Defence Science and Technology Group)
Modelling and estimation with higher-order Markov chains observed through arbitrary disturbance models
Marijka Batterham (University of Wollongong)
Current issues in the analysis of weight loss trials
Sandy Burden (University of Wollongong)
Exceedance set prediction for spatial environmental processes
Goulburn 30 (June 8, 2016)
Ken Russell (University of Wollongong)
Experimental Design for Generalized Linear Models
Edward Szoldra (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
The Design of the Australian Population Survey
James Brown (University of Technology Sydney)
Flexible Modelling of Small Area Counts Using Log-Gamma Random Effects
Yue Ma (University of Wollongong)
A New Algorithm for Protecting Aggregate Business Microdata via a Remote Server
Goulburn 29 (November 26, 2015)
Janice Scealy (Australian National University)
A directional mixed effects model for compositional expenditure data
James Brown (University of Technology Sydney)
Can we use the approaches of ecological inference to learn about the potential for dependence bias in dualsystem estimation? An application to cancer registration data
Pavel Krivitsky (University of Wollongong)
Modelling of Dynamic Networks based on Egocentrically-Sampled Data
Chong You (University of Wollongong)
On Variational Bayes Estimation and Model Selection For Linear Regression Using Spike and Slab Priors
Goulburn 28 (August 19, 2015)
Robert Clark (University of Wollongong)
Modelling the Relationship between Leaf Chemistry and Koala Population Density
Alice Richardson (University of Canberra)
Enhanced prediction of infectious diseases though routine pathology data
John Newman (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Protecting aggregate business microdata at the Australian Bureau of Statistics
Marcelo Esteban Munoz (PhD student, University Hamburg, Germany)
Using Spatial Microsimulation for the Estimation of Heat Demand
Goulburn 27 (March 18, 2015)
Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Survey Sampling In Official Statistics - Some Thoughts On Directions
Andrew Zammit-Mangion (University of Wollongong)
Causal spatial models
Hanlin Shang (Australian National University)
Some recent development in functional time-series forecasting
Nikos Tzavidis (University of Southampton)
Microsimulation via Quantiles for Domain Prediction
Goulburn 26 (November 26, 2014)
Siu-Ming Tam (Australian Bureau of Statistics )
A Bayesian Framework for Big Data with Application to the Analysis of Satellite Imagery Data
Ben Phillips (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling)
Small Area Modelling of the Federal Budget Impact
Sandy Burden (University of Wollongong)
Constraint Choice for Spatial Microsimulation
Garth Tarr (Australian National University)
Visualising variable selection: the mplot package
Goulburn 25 (August 20, 2014)
Professor Alan Welsh (Australian National University)
Colours and Cocktails: Compositional Data Analysis
Walt Davis (University of Wollongong)
Identification and specification testing for complicated factor analysis models
Dr Bronwyn Loong (Australian National University)
Disclosure Control using Partially Synthetic Data for Large-Scale Health Surveys, with Applications to CanCORS
Dr Michael Stewart (University of Sydney)
Two-component mixtures: some theory and applications
Goulburn 24 (March 26, 2014)
Dr James Chipperfield (ABS)
Using the Bootstrap to make inference with Estimating Equations and Probabilistically-Linked Data
Dr Pavel Krivitsky (UoW)
Inference for Exponential-Family Random Graph Models Based on Egocentrically-Sampled Data
Emi Tanaka (UoW)
Short introduction to motifs and improving the comparison of motifs
A/Prof. Robert Clark
Likelihood Analysis of Distance Sampling Data
Goulburn 23 (December 11, 2013)
Mark Chambers (ABARES)
Tag Recovery Studies of Southern Bluefin Tuna
Dr Siu-Ming Tam (ABS)
Taming Non-Response in Finite Population Sampling with Auxiliary Information
Prof. Noel Cressie (UoW)
Conditional and Marginal Probability Models and their Role in Statistical Science
Prof. James Brown
Towards a design for an Employer Survey on Skills Needs covering the EU28 countries
Goulburn 22 (August 14, 2013)
Prof. Alan Welsh (The Australian National University)
The Prediction of random effects in hurdle models
Dr Philip Kokic and Dr Shuvo Bakar (CSIRO)
A spatio-dynamic model for assessing frost risk in south-eastern Australia
Payam Mokhtarian (University of Wollongong)
Outlier Robust Black Bootstrap Fitting of Linear Mixed Models - An Application to Small Area Estimation
Sumonkanti Das (University of Wollongong)
Poverty Mapping for Bangladesh
Goulburn 21 (March 6, 2013)
Prof. Peter Lane (The Australian National University)
Handling missing data in clinical trials
Simon Diffey (University of Wollongong)
A new REML (PX)EM algorithm for linear mixed models and factor analytic mixed models
Distinguished Prof. Noel Cressie (University of Wollongong)
Inference for Count Data using the Spatial Random Effects Model
Benedict Cusack (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Weighting and Non-Response Analysis for the Australian Health Survey
Photos of the 21st Goulburn Fellows Research Meeting
GOULBURN 20 (DECEMBER 5, 2012)
A/Prof. Yan-Xia Lin (University of Wollongong)
Data analysis based on noise multiplied data
William Aeberhand (PhD, Unviersity of Geneva)
Comparison of robust estimators in the negative bi-normal model with an application to falls data
Dr Gunky Kim (University of Wollongong)
Unbiased Regression Estimation for Multi-Linked Data in the Presence of Correlated Linkage Error and Summary Statistics for Secondary Analysis
Dr James Chipperfield (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Disclosure-Protected Regression Coefficients with Linked Mico-Data
GOULBURN 19 (AUGUST 15, 2012)
James Brown (University of Southampton)
Towards a Rolling Census Design for England and Wales
Christian Robert (University of Paris-Dauphine)
Rao-Blackwellisation of sampling schemes
Alan Welsh (The Australian National University)
Robust Model-based Sampling Designs
Robert Tanton (University of Canberra)
Statistical testing of community surveys in the Murray Darling Basin
GOULBURN 18 (MARCH 21, 2012)
Stephen Horn, (FaHCSIA)
Why performance indexes fail?
Ray Lindsay (Australian Tax Office)
Sample selection bias - and implications for predictive model building
Ray Chambers (Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology UoW)
M-Quantile Regression for Binary Data with Application to Small Area Estimation
Pramod Adhikari (AIHW)
2010 Australian National Infant feeding Survey: development, implementation and results
GOULBURN 17 (NOVEMBER 30,2011)
Simon Eckermann (University of Wollongong)
Presenting evidence and summary measures to best inform societal decisions when comparing multiple strategies
Murray Aitkin (University of Melbourne)
Bayesian nonparametrics in contingency table and survey analysis
Mark Fielding (University of Wollongong)
Statistics in GPUs
Timo Schmid (University of Trier)
Spatial robust small area estimation applied to business data
GOULBURN 16 (JULY 27, 2011)
David Clifford (CMIS)
The dramatic effect of preferential sampling designs on sampling variance in environmental applications
David Butler (DEEDI)
On the optimal design of experiments with dependents observations and correlated treatments
Emma Huang (CMIS)
Selecting subsets of experimental populations to maximize genetic diversity
James Chipperfield (ABS)
Controlling the risk of disclosure when analyzing microdata
GOULBURN 15 (MARCH 16, 2011)
Goulburn 15 was a special event, A symposium to honour Dr Ken Brewer on the occasion of his 80th Birthday. The event was held at ANU in Canberra, instead of the usual Goulburn location. The meeting recognised the significant contributions to the discipline and profession of statistics in Australia and internationally that Ken has made over a career spanning 60 years. He has developed innovative theory and practical methods in sample design and estimation, time series methods and the foundations of statistics inference. His career includes major appointments at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and the Australian National University. Ken has also made a long term contribution to the Statistical Society of Australia. The symposium was attended by over 50 people.
Alastair Scott (University of Auckland)
Pseudo-likelihood methods for survey data
Murray Aitkin (University of Melbourne)
Bridging the gap - Bayesian contributions to surveys sampling inference
Alan Welsh (The Australian National University)
Behind the elephants
Robert Clark (University of Wollongong)
Sample Design using Imprecise Design Data
GOULBURN 14 (DECEMBER 1, 2010)
Robert Tanton (NATSEM)
Spatial Microsimulation: Small area estimation using a generalised regression reweighting procedure
Thomas Suesse (University of Wollongong)
Estimation of Population Total based on Linear Models using Social Network Information
Bill Gross (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Optimally Weighted Replicate Variance Estimation
Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Bootstrapping Spatial Data - An Application to Analysis of Weather Modification Data
GOULBURN 13 (JULY 21, 2010)
Philip Kokic (CSIRO)
Statistical downscaling of climate forecasts in the Pacific region
Raazesh Sainudiin (University of Canterbury)
Statistical Regular Sub-pavings for Multivariate Density Estimation of Massive Data
Stephen Horn (FaHCSIA)
Quality considerations in a process control survey exploration of the governance dimension
Alison Smith (WWAI)
The analysis of variety trials using mixtures of composite and individual plot samples
GOULBURN 12 (APRIL 21, 2010)
Daniel Elazar (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Getting a Small Grip on Reality: The Benchmarking of Small Area Estimates
Gunky Kim (University of Wollongong)
Regression analysis for probabilistically linked longitudinal data
Philip Bell (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Revisiting selection and overlap control in surveys
Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Statistical Modelling of rainfall enhancement
GOULBURN 11 (NOVEMBER 11, 2009)
Professor Matt Wand (University of Wollongong)
Variational Approximations in Semiparametric Regression
Professor Chris Field (Dalhousie University, Canada)
Statistical Issues in Fisheries and Marine Ecology
Craig McLaren (Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom)
Issues in Retail Trade in the UK
Dr George Sofronov (University of Wollongong)
Spatial small area estimation: comparison of different approaches
GOULBURN 10 (AUGUST 5, 2009)
Janice Scealy (Australian National University)
Small Area Estimation Using a Multinomial Logit Mixed Model With Category Specific Random Effects
Dr Jun Ma (Macquarie University)
Generalized EM estimation for semi-parametric mixture distributions with discretized non-parametric component
Dr Ken Brewer (Australian National University)
Testing a Precise Null Hypothesis vs a Diffuse Alternative Hypothesis, Using a Ignorance Prior
Prof. Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Outlier Robust Small Area Estimation.
GOULBURN 9 (APRIL 22, 2009)
Prof. Douglas Simpson (University of Illinois)
Semiparametric Generalized Linear Models with Varying Dispersion
A/Prof. Gillian Heller (Macquarie University)
Zero-adjusted and random sum models: mean and dispersion modelling
Ray Lindsay (Australian Taxation Office)
Using ensembles of models to predict revenue for unlodged tax returns - Approximating curves by many piecewise constants
Ric Clarke (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Investigation Of A Machine Learning Approach For Automated Survey Coding In The ABS
GOULBURN 8 (NOVEMBER 12, 2008)
Stephen Horn (FaHCSIA)
Measuring process accuracy using state space methods: yet another application of the GREG
Veronica Rodriguez
Assessing the accuracy and precision of stereo-video length measurements of Southern Bluefin Tuna
Serigne Lo and Malcolm Hudson (University of Sydney)
Saddlepoint Approximation for Semi-Markov Processes with Application to a Cardiovascular Randomised Study
David Steel and Carole Birrell (University of Wollongong)
Combined Weighting and Analysis of Multiple Longitudinal Surveys
GOULBURN 7 (JULY 30, 2008)
Ross Sparks and Chris Okugami (CSIRO Mathematical & Information Sciences)
Data on vehicle crashes of any significance are reported in police reports
Matt Wand (University of Wollongong)
Smoothing and Graphical Models
Phil Kokic (ANU and ABARE)
Conditional Forecasting of Quantiles using a State Space Model
Alexa Olczyk and Steve Lane (ABS)
Refining the Stratification for the Established House Price Index
GOULBURN 6 (MARCH 19, 2008)
SOFT COPY DOCUMENTS NOT AVAILABLE FOR THIS MEETING
John Rayner (University of Newcastle)
**my brother* is an hairy man, but I am a smooth man*
Milorad Kovacevic (Statistics Canada)
Regression analysis of linked survey files
Pramod Adhikari (Australian Bureau of Statistics)
Experimental estimates of adult literacy for Local Government areas
Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Measurement error in auxiliary information
GOULBURN 5 (NOVEMBER 14, 2007)
Elvezio Ronchetti (University of Geneva)
Modelling Interest Rates
Nicole Watson (University of Melbourne)
Evaluation of Alternative Longitudinal Income Imputation Methods: The HILDA Experience
Eric Beh (University of Western Sydney)
Some Issues Concerning Categorical Data Analysis
David Griffiths (University of Wollongong)
The Thrown Coin: Who Gives a Toss? Binary Regression Design: Some Unresolved Issues
GOULBURN 4 (JULY 11, 2007)
Janice Wooton (ABS)
Parameter Estimation Using Confidentialised Census Count Data: Measuring the Information Loss
Janice Wooton (ABS)
Small Area Estimation: Issues Facing a National Statistical Office
Hooshang Talebi (University of Isfahan)
Optimal Bayesian Design for Small Experiments Applied to Simple Logistic Regression Models
Matt Wand (University of Wollongong)
Highest Density Difference Region Estimation with Application to Flow Cytometric Data
Robert Clark (University of Wollongong)
Adaptive Calibration for Prediction of Finite Population Totals
GOULBURN 3 (MARCH 21, 2007)
Daniel Elazar (ABS)
Summarising the Quality of Small Area Estimates: An ABS perspective
Stephen Horn (FaCSIA)
Longitudinal Estimation
James Chipperfield (ABS)
Designing the Missing Data Mechanism for Split Questionnaire Surveys
Alan Welsh (Australian National University)
Random Effect and Transformation Models for Clustered Data
Soft copy documents are not available for 2007 meetings.
GOULBURN 2 (NOVEMBER 29, 2006)
Bill Gross (ABS)
Replication Variance Estimation
Ken Brewer (Australian National University)
Signal Extraction using ARIMA Models
Simon Barry, Emma Lawrence and Emma Knight (BRS)
Statistical Applications to Fisheries Data
Phil Kokic (ABARE)
Rural Vulnerability Indexes
GOULBURN 1 (SEPTEMBER 27, 2006)
Suojin Wang (Texas A&M University)
Maximum Likelihood With Auxiliary Information
Taprabatha Maiti (Iowa State University)
Using Neural Net Imputation in the National Resources Inventory Surveys
Hukum Chandra (University of Southampton)
Small Area Estimation for Business Surveys
Ross Sparks (CSIRO)
Surveillance Using Survey Data
Soft copy documents are not available for 2006 meetings.